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Dutch Govt Publishes Study on Costs for 12-digit 06 Number Series
Source: www.telecompaper.com
Source Date: Friday, April 12, 2019
Focus: Electronic and Mobile Government, Institution and HR Management, Internet Governance
Country: Netherlands
Created: Apr 15, 2019

The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs has commissioned research into the costs of implementing 12-digit 06 number series. Given the occupancy rate of current 06 number blocks available for allocation (91% of the capacity of 60 million numbers), there is a risk of scarcity in the long term, especially if the destination of these number series gets expanded. The costs for implementing a 12-digit 06 number are estimated at EUR 17.5- 19.5 million.
The scarcity means in particular that there are no, or insufficient, number blocks available for issuance to new entrants in the market and for any new innovative services. The extra number capacity is potentially available in the 060 and 069 sub-series, and in the 066 and 067 sub-series that is still being partly used by Semaphony, for access to data services in other networks and for switched internet access.

Scarcity
Based on average growth in allocation of number blocks of 0.5% year on year (unchanged circumstances, no change in destination Mobile Telephony, 95% upper limit in number issuance), there is no visible reason to make extra number capacity available in the short term, according to the study , and for the long term there is no urgent reason to have to apply 12-digit numbers. However, there is little room for the issue of large volumes of number blocks to any new entrants.

Growth scenarios show it is inevitable that there will be an increase in number capacity. Across all growth scenarios, it cannot be ruled out in the long term that much larger numbering needs may arise than in the given growth scenarios (and larger than the maximum 100 million numbers if the 06 series is fully deployed) due to unforeseen and unknown applications. and providers of future new services. It is therefore important not to block the possibility of changing the length from 06 numbers to 12 digits. For that reason, this possibility must in any case continue to exist in one still available and free sub-series (060 or 069), and it is also important to provide market parties with clear information, as well as legal certainty with regard to possible investments.

Expand capacity through issue of new sub-series
The study shows that there is a preference for a scenario to realise extra capacity by first issuing 10-digit number blocks in 066 and 067 sub-series as an intermediate step to possible future 12-digit numbers in 060 and/or 069 sub-series . The important advantage of that scenario is that the entire 060 and 069 sub-series can still be kept free as a guarantee that there will always be room and flexibility in the 06 series in the event of unexpected unforeseen developments with regard to numbering plans. In addition, an advantage is that the introduction of 12-digit 06-number series in the number plan, and also the final decisions to allocate 12-digit number series do not have to be taken before 2021.

Operators and other relevant parties will be able to support the issue in this 066 and 067 sub-series without any significant impact. In summary, the conclusion is that 16-18 million number capacity can be made available in the short term (2018-2019) in the 066 and 067 subsets, with potentially 2 million extra numbers (2021-2025). Although when implementing 12-digit 06-series, there is synergy with earlier implementation of 12-digit 097-series, considerable costs will still arise for introducing 12-digit 06-series.

Estimation of costs
The total costs for introducing 12-digit series for the telecom sector are estimated at EUR 19.5 million (one-off). If this introduction can be spread out over a longer period of introduction of 2-5 years), then these costs are lower, namely EUR 17.5 million. No quantitative estimate of the total social costs was made in the study.
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